Information
Code | ISB203 |
Name | Probability Theory |
Term | 2024-2025 Academic Year |
Semester | 3. Semester |
Duration (T+A) | 4-0 (T-A) (17 Week) |
ECTS | 6 ECTS |
National Credit | 4 National Credit |
Teaching Language | Türkçe |
Level | Lisans Dersi |
Type | Normal |
Mode of study | Yüz Yüze Öğretim |
Catalog Information Coordinator | Prof. Dr. ALİ İHSAN GENÇ |
Course Instructor |
Prof. Dr. ALİ İHSAN GENÇ
(A Group)
(Ins. in Charge)
|
Course Goal / Objective
To give a mathematical basis for statistics
Course Content
Starting with the definitions of probability, the random variables and their properties are studied.
Course Precondition
None
Resources
Matematiksel İstatistik, John E. Freund, Çeviri: Ümit Şenesen, Literatür Yayınları, 2015.
Notes
Statistical Inference, George Casella, Roger L. Berger, Second Ed., Duxbury Advanced Series, 2002.
Course Learning Outcomes
Order | Course Learning Outcomes |
---|---|
LO01 | Comprehends the notions of sigma algebra, Borel measure and probability. |
LO02 | Defines measurable and probability spaces. |
LO03 | Orders the properties of distribution functions. |
LO04 | Orders the types of random variables and their properties. |
LO05 | Computes the moments of random variables. |
LO06 | Applies Chebyshev inequality and some other inequalities. |
LO07 | Defines moment generating function and characteristic function. |
LO08 | Defines percentiles of random variables. |
LO09 | Classifies the named statistical distributions and families like exponential family of distributions and location-scale families. |
Relation with Program Learning Outcome
Order | Type | Program Learning Outcomes | Level |
---|---|---|---|
PLO01 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Explain the essence fundamentals and concepts in the field of Statistics | 4 |
PLO02 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Emphasize the importance of Statistics in life | |
PLO03 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Define basic principles and concepts in the field of Law and Economics | |
PLO04 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Produce numeric and statistical solutions in order to overcome the problems | |
PLO05 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Use proper methods and techniques to gather and/or to arrange the data | |
PLO06 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Utilize computer programs and builds models, solves problems, does analyses and comments about problems concerning randomization | |
PLO07 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Apply the statistical analyze methods | 1 |
PLO08 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Make statistical inference (estimation, hypothesis tests etc.) | 3 |
PLO09 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Generate solutions for the problems in other disciplines by using statistical techniques and gain insight | |
PLO10 | Bilgi - Kuramsal, Olgusal | Discover the visual, database and web programming techniques and posses the ability of writing programs | |
PLO11 | Beceriler - Bilişsel, Uygulamalı | Distinguish the difference between the statistical methods | |
PLO12 | Yetkinlikler - Bağımsız Çalışabilme ve Sorumluluk Alabilme Yetkinliği | Make oral and visual presentation for the results of statistical methods | |
PLO13 | Yetkinlikler - Bağımsız Çalışabilme ve Sorumluluk Alabilme Yetkinliği | Have capability on effective and productive work in a group and individually | |
PLO14 | Yetkinlikler - Bağımsız Çalışabilme ve Sorumluluk Alabilme Yetkinliği | Professional development in accordance with their interests and abilities, as well as the scientific, cultural, artistic and social fields, constantly improve themselves by identifying training needs | |
PLO15 | Yetkinlikler - Öğrenme Yetkinliği | Develop scientific and ethical values in the fields of statistics-and scientific data collection |
Week Plan
Week | Topic | Preparation | Methods |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Sigma algebra and probability space | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
2 | Consequences of Probability, random variables | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
3 | Distribution functions and their properties | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
4 | Discrete random variables, continuous random variables, probability mass functions, probability density functions | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
5 | Quantile function and generating random numbers from distributions | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
6 | Distributions of functions of random variables | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
7 | Moment generating function, moments, expected value,variance | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
8 | Mid-Term Exam | Review the topics discussed in the lecture notes and sources | Ölçme Yöntemleri: Yazılı Sınav |
9 | Characteristic function, probability generating function | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
10 | Named discrete distributions and their properties | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
11 | Named discrete distributions and their properties II | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
12 | Named continuous distributions and their properties | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
13 | Named continuous distributions and their properties II | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
14 | Location-scale family | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
15 | Properties of exponential families | Source reading | Öğretim Yöntemleri: Anlatım, Tartışma, Problem Çözme |
16 | Term Exams | Review the topics discussed in the lecture notes and sources | Ölçme Yöntemleri: Yazılı Sınav |
17 | Term Exams | Review the topics discussed in the lecture notes and sources | Ölçme Yöntemleri: Yazılı Sınav |
Student Workload - ECTS
Works | Number | Time (Hour) | Workload (Hour) |
---|---|---|---|
Course Related Works | |||
Class Time (Exam weeks are excluded) | 14 | 4 | 56 |
Out of Class Study (Preliminary Work, Practice) | 14 | 4 | 56 |
Assesment Related Works | |||
Homeworks, Projects, Others | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mid-term Exams (Written, Oral, etc.) | 1 | 12 | 12 |
Final Exam | 1 | 28 | 28 |
Total Workload (Hour) | 152 | ||
Total Workload / 25 (h) | 6,08 | ||
ECTS | 6 ECTS |